Vacasa Reports Record Third Quarter 2021 Results

PORTLAND, Ore., (November 15, 2021) — Vacasa, North America’s leading vacation rental management platform, today announced financial results for the third quarter ended September 30, 2021.

Third Quarter 2021 Highlights:

Record-Setting Third Quarter Financial Results Far Exceed Targets; Raising Full-year 2021 Revenue and Adjusted EBITDA Guidance and Strong Confidence that Full-year 2022 Revenue Finishes Above Target. Third quarter 2021 Gross Booking Value, Revenue, and Adjusted EBITDA all finished at their highest levels ever and above the targets outlined in the Investor Presentation filed by TPG Pace Solutions Corp. (NYSE: TPGS; “TPGS”) when the planned business combination was announced on July 29, 2021. Based on the continued strong consumer demand trends, we are raising our full-year 2021 Revenue and Adjusted EBITDA guidance. Further, we have high confidence that our full-year 2022 Revenue will finish ahead of the target as the favorable secular tailwinds in the industry likely persist, allowing occupancy and Gross Booking Value per Night Sold to remain above pre-pandemic levels.
Revenue Finishes Ahead of Target on Record Gross Booking Value. Gross Booking Value reached $776 million in the third quarter, up 97% year-over-year. As a result, Revenue reached an all-time high of $330 million in the third quarter, up 77% year-over-year and $72 million, or 28%, above the target of $258 million.
Over 1.8 Million Nights Sold. There were more than 1.8 million Nights Sold in the third quarter compared to 1.1 million in the third quarter of 2020. We continued to see strong demand for vacation rentals during our seasonally strongest quarter. Through our internally developed, technology-driven pricing strategies, we were able to drive Gross Booking Value per Night Sold to a record setting $422, up 19% year-over-year.
Net Income. Net Income in the third quarter was $33 million compared to $9 million in the third quarter of 2020.
Topline Outperformance Results in Adjusted EBITDA Beat and Demonstrates Inherent Operating Model Leverage. Third quarter 2021 Adjusted EBITDA was $57 million compared to $25 million in the third quarter of 2020 and above the target of $26 million. The $31 million outperformance on Adjusted EBITDA relative to the target was attributable to stronger than projected Revenue and demonstrates the underlying earnings and margin power of our business. Additionally, some of the investments we expected to make in the third quarter, funded by the outperformance in the second and third quarter, are now being made in the fourth quarter primarily due to the timing of our brand advertising campaign.
Raising Full-year 2021 Revenue and Adjusted EBITDA Guidance. Based on the trends we’ve seen to date, we’ve raised our full-year 2021 Revenue guidance, and now expect Revenue to be in a range of $872 million to $877 million, with the range more than $100 million, or 16%, above our target of $757 million. We’ve also raised our full-year 2021 Adjusted EBITDA guidance to be in a range of negative $45 million to negative $40 million, which is about 10% to 20% better than our target of negative $49 million.
Full-year 2022 Outlook. As we approach the end of 2021, we believe that the favorable consumer demand trends will persist into 2022. Given these trends, as well as our growth investments, we have increased confidence that we will finish ahead of the full-year 2022 Revenue target driven by relatively higher occupancy and Gross Booking Value per Night Sold.
Favorable Shifts in Consumer Behavior. Our business continues to perform exceptionally well, driven by a combination of shifting consumer preferences toward vacation rentals and outstanding execution across our entire organization. We expect the consumer preference shift toward vacation rentals, which materializes in our strong occupancy and higher Gross Booking Value per Night Sold, to be enduring rather than transitory. We’ve seen massive trial of the category over the past 18 months; nearly 20% of guests stayed in a vacation rental for the first time between March 2020 and March 2021 according to a Skift Study and recent industry reports suggest trial could be even higher. Additionally, guests are having an outstanding experience with short-term rentals; 86% of guests plan to continue booking vacation rentals post-pandemic according to VRM Intel and 52% of guests would prefer to stay in a vacation rental over a hotel post-pandemic according to a Skift Study. Finally, we expect a continuation of favorable secular trends such as “work from anywhere” and expanded use cases of vacation rentals. While the consumer preference shift towards vacation rentals has been a decade in the making, the environment over the past 18 months has accelerated adoption. We believe the consumer demand environment will remain above pre-pandemic levels, which gives us the confidence to accelerate investments in the business and raise our full-year 2021 financial guidance. It also increases our confidence that full-year 2022 Revenue will finish above our target.
Product Updates. We recently released our AI-driven Itinerary Based Pricing algorithm update, which is another custom-built technology tool that allows Vacasa to maximize income for its homeowners. We also will begin to more broadly roll out Vacasa Smart Home technology across our portfolio, which leverages proprietary, in-home technology devices to create an elevated guest experience, enables local teams to support homes remotely, and drive operational efficiencies. Finally, we added a Probability of Booking feature to our homeowner portal to help homeowners understand the probability of a guest booking their home on a given night along with the projected associated income. This enables homeowners to make informed decisions regarding when to leave their calendars open for guests in order to maximize revenue. We have a deep product roadmap and will continue to invest in engineers to improve our technology offering and, in turn, all facets of the homeowner and guest experience.
Transaction Update. TPGS and Vacasa currently expect to close the proposed business combination with Vacasa Holdings in the fourth quarter of 2021. Vacasa, Inc.’s registration statement on Form S-4 (the “Registration Statement”) was declared effective by the United States Securities and Exchange Commission (the “SEC”) on November 10, 2021. We expect TPGS’ shareholder vote to take place on November 30, 2021 at 4:30 p.m. Eastern time. The closing of the business combination is subject to shareholder approval and other customary closing conditions.

Management Remarks on the Third Quarter

"We generated record results in the third quarter, driven by a combination of consumers' continued desire to travel, the ongoing preference shift towards vacation rentals, and strong execution across our entire organization," said Matt Roberts, CEO. “While guest demand is the leading driver of our outperformance, we’ve had solid supply additions through both our individual and portfolio approaches in 2021. We now have more than 35,000 homes on our platform, in-line with the expectations we outlined when we announced our transaction with TPGS, and are the largest vacation rental management platform in North America.”

"A strong consumer demand environment allowed us to achieve high occupancy and record levels of Gross Booking Value per Night Sold, up 19% year-over-year, leading to third quarter Revenue and Adjusted EBITDA coming in well ahead of our targets," said Jamie Cohen, CFO of Vacasa. “As we indicated in September, we are investing the outperformance from the second and third quarters back into the business during the fourth quarter through a brand advertising campaign and a pull forward of hiring to drive growth as we enter 2022. Even with the investments in the fourth quarter, we are still expecting to deliver full-year 2021 Adjusted EBITDA about 10% to 20% better than our target.”

“With the business performing exceptionally well, we are raising our Revenue guidance and now expect full-year 2021 Revenue to come in more than $100 million ahead of our initial target,” said Roberts. “Based on everything we’ve seen to date, we are more confident that occupancy and Gross Booking Value per Night Sold will remain above pre-pandemic levels in 2022. As a result of this and the investments we are making, we expect full-year 2022 Revenue to finish ahead of our target and look forward to sharing a more detailed 2022 outlook when we report fourth quarter results.”

Upcoming Event

CEO Matt Roberts and CFO Jamie Cohen will participate in a fireside chat at the 2021 RBC Capital Markets Global Technology, Internet, Media and Telecom Conference on Tuesday, November 16, 2021, at 11:20 a.m. EST / 8:20 a.m. PST. Both live and replay versions of the webcast can be accessed on the Vacasa Investor Website at www.vacasa.com/investors.

Shareholder Letter

Please visit vacasa.com/investors to review the Third Quarter 2021 Shareholder Letter.

About Vacasa

Vacasa is the leading vacation rental management platform in North America, transforming the vacation rental experience by integrating purpose-built technology with expert local and national teams. Homeowners enjoy earning significant incremental income on one of their most valuable assets, delivered by the company’s unmatched technology that adjusts rates in real time to maximize revenue. Guests can relax comfortably in Vacasa’s 35,000+ homes across more than 400 destinations in North America, Belize and Costa Rica, knowing that 24/7 support is just a phone call away. In addition to enabling guests to search, discover and book its properties on Vacasa.com and the Vacasa Guest App, Vacasa provides valuable, professionally managed inventory to top channel partners, including Airbnb, Booking.com and Vrbo. In Summer 2021, Vacasa entered into an agreement to become a publicly traded company through a business combination with TPG Pace Solutions (NYSE: TPGS), a special purpose acquisition company (“SPAC”).

For more information, visit https://www.vacasa.com/press.

Additional Information and Where to Find It

This Press Release is being made in connection with a proposed business combination involving Vacasa and TPGS. In connection with the proposed transaction, Vacasa, Inc. (“NewCo”) has filed with the SEC a registration statement on Form S-4, which has become effective. TPGS urges investors, shareholders and other interested persons to read the definitive proxy statement/prospectus as well as other documents filed with the SEC because these documents will contain important information about TPGS, Vacasa, NewCo and the business combination. Shareholders will be able to obtain a copy of the definitive proxy statement/prospectus, without charge, by directing a request to: TPG Pace Solutions, 301 Commerce St., Suite 3300, Fort Worth, TX 76102. The definitive proxy statement/prospectus can also be obtained without charge at the SEC’s website (www.sec.gov).

Participants in Solicitation

TPGS, NewCo, Vacasa and their respective directors and executive officers may be deemed to be participants in the solicitation of proxies from the shareholders of TPGS in connection with the proposed business combination. Investors and security holders may obtain more detailed information regarding the names, affiliations and interests of certain of TPGS’s executive officers and directors in the solicitation by reading TPGS’s initial public offering prospectus, which was filed with the SEC on April 9, 2021, the definitive proxy statement/prospectus relating to the business combination, which was filed with the SEC on November 10, 2021, and other relevant materials filed with the SEC in connection with the business combination when they become available. Other information concerning the interests of participants in the solicitation, which may, in some cases, be different than those of their shareholders generally, is set forth in the definitive proxy statement/prospectus relating to the business combination. Shareholders, potential investors and other interested persons should read the definitive proxy statement/prospectus carefully before making any voting or investment decisions. Copies of these documents may be obtained for free from the sources indicated above.

Forward-Looking Statements

Certain statements made in this Press Release are “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of the “safe harbor” provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Forward-looking statements may be identified by the use of words such as “anticipate”, “believe”, “expect”, “estimate”, “plan”, “outlook”, and “project” and other similar expressions that predict or indicate future events or trends or that are not statements of historical matters. These forward-looking statements reflect the current analysis of existing information and are subject to various risks and uncertainties. As a result, caution must be exercised in relying on forward-looking statements. Due to known and unknown risks, actual results may differ materially from TPGS’s or Vacasa’s expectations or projections. The following factors, among others, could cause actual results to differ materially from those described in these forward-looking statements: (i) the occurrence of any event, change or other circumstances that could give rise to the termination of the definitive agreement for the business combination between TPGS and Vacasa (the “Business Combination Agreement”); (ii) the ability of the combined company to meet listing standards following the transaction and in connection with the consummation thereof; (iii) the inability to complete the transactions contemplated by the Business Combination Agreement due to the failure to obtain approval of the shareholders of TPGS or other reasons; (iv) the failure to meet the minimum cash requirements of the Business Combination Agreement due to TPGS shareholders’ redemptions and one or more defaults by the investors in the private placement that is being undertaken in connection with the business combination, and failing to obtain replacement financing; (v) costs related to the proposed transaction; (vi) changes in applicable laws or regulations; (vii) the ability of the combined company to meet its financial and strategic goals, due to, among other things, competition, the ability of the combined company to pursue a growth strategy and manage growth profitability; (viii) the possibility that the combined company may be adversely affected by other economic, business, and/or competitive factors; (ix) the continuing or new effects of the COVID-19 pandemic on TPGS and Vacasa and their ability to consummate the transaction; and (x) other risks and uncertainties described herein, as well as those risks and uncertainties discussed from time to time in other reports and other public filings with the SEC by TPGS and NewCo.

Additional information concerning these and other factors that may impact TPGS’s and Vacasa’s expectations and projections can be found in TPGS’s and NewCo’s periodic filings with the SEC and in the definitive proxy statement/prospectus filed with the SEC by NewCo. TPGS’s and NewCo’s SEC filings are available publicly on the SEC's website at www.sec.gov.

The foregoing list of factors is not exclusive. Readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance upon any forward-looking statements, which speak only as of the date made. Neither TPGS nor Vacasa undertakes or accepts any obligation or undertaking to release publicly any updates or revisions to any forward-looking statements to reflect any change in its expectations or any change in events, conditions or circumstances on which any such statement is based, subject to applicable law.

No Offer or Solicitation

This Press Release does not constitute a solicitation of a proxy, consent or authorization with respect to any securities or in respect of the proposed business combination. This Press Release also does not constitute an oﬀer to sell or the solicitation of an oﬀer to buy securities, nor will there be any sale of securities in any state or jurisdiction in which such oﬀer, solicitation or sale would be unlawful prior to registration or qualification under the securities laws of any such jurisdiction. No oﬀering of securities will be made except by means of a prospectus meeting the requirements of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or an exemption therefrom.

No Assurances

There can be no assurance that the transactions described herein will be completed, nor can there be any assurance, if such transactions are completed, that the potential benefits of combining the companies will be realized. The description of the transactions contained herein is only a summary and is qualified in its entirety by reference to the definitive agreements relating to the transactions, copies of which have been filed as exhibits to the Current Report on Form 8-K filed by TPGS with the SEC on August 3, 2021.

Use of Non-GAAP Financial Measures

This Press Release includes Adjusted EBITDA, which is a financial measure that is not defined by or presented in accordance with accounting principles generally accepted in the United States (“GAAP”). Because it excludes items we do not believe to be indicative of our core operating performance, we believe Adjusted EBITDA provides useful information to analysts and investors in understanding and evaluating our results of operations, is frequently used by these parties in evaluating companies in our industry, and provides a useful measure for period-to-period comparisons of our business performance. Moreover, Adjusted EBITDA is a key measurement used by our management internally to make operating decisions, including those related to analyzing operating expenses, evaluating performance, and performing strategic planning and annual budgeting.

However, Adjusted EBITDA has a number of significant limitations as an analytical tool, and other companies in our industry may calculate this measure differently than we do, thereby further limiting its usefulness as a comparative measure. Because of its limitations, Adjusted EBITDA should be considered as supplemental in nature only, and should not be viewed as a substitute for net income (loss) or any other financial information prepared in accordance with GAAP.

A reconciliation of the Company’s Adjusted EBITDA guidance to the most directly comparable GAAP financial measure cannot be provided without unreasonable efforts and is not provided herein because of the inherent difficulty in forecasting and quantifying certain amounts that are necessary for such reconciliations, including adjustments that are made for depreciation and amortization of intangible assets, equity-based compensation expense, business combination costs, restructuring charges and other adjustments reflected in our reconciliation of historical Adjusted EBITDA, the amounts of which, could be material.

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